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2024 · New Jersey, New York and beyond

The New Jersey drones

On the record
Strength B · 7/10 · 5 independent
Evidence 3/4 · Witnesses 1/3 · Backing 3/3

Released FBI reports and official airspace closures confirm the wave, though the many witnesses are not named here.

Plausibility High
Score 11 · 6 factors for, 0 against

FBI reports and official airspace closures confirm the wave; officials called many authorized flights, which does not cover all.

See the factors ↓

Natural cause proposed, not demonstrated
WhenNovember – December 2024
WhereNew Jersey, New York and beyond
Backing5 independent
Evidencedocuments, official records

Starting around November 18, residents of Morris County began reporting large drones, some described as car-sized, hovering at night. Sightings spread across New Jersey and into New York, near Picatinny Arsenal and the president-elect's Bedminster golf club. The FAA issued flight restrictions, Stewart International Airport briefly closed its runways, and Wright-Patterson AFB in Ohio closed its airspace after its own incursions. Officials said there was no threat and later that many were authorized flights. To many observers that never explained the size, number and behavior of what people filmed.

Evidence, in date order (5)

  1. Oct 2024FBIdocument
    FD-1057 reports on sightings in the northeastern U.S. war.gov: FBI FD-1057, Northeastern U.S. sightings, Oct 2024
  2. Nov 2024FBIdocument
    FD-1057 report, November war.gov: FBI FD-1057, Northeastern U.S., Nov 2024
  3. Dec 2024FBIdocument
    FD-1057 report, December war.gov: FBI FD-1057, Northeastern U.S., Dec 2024
  4. Dec 2024FAAofficial
    temporary flight restrictions across New Jersey and New York Lawmakers demand answers as drone sightings grow in NJ and NY
  5. Dec 2024Stewart Airport and Wright-Patterson AFBofficial
    airspace closures after incursions NJ police urge the government to step up as more drones are spotted

How plausible · High

FBI reports and official airspace closures confirm the wave; officials called many authorized flights, which does not cover all.

  • ●●
    Access Many witnesses.
  • ●●
    No gain sought Ordinary residents.
  • ●●
    Independent convergence Thousands of reports.
  • ●●
    Checkable details check out FBI reports; TFRs.
  • ●●
    Fits the documented skeleton Closures documented.
  • ●○
    Fits secrecy practice Shifting official answers.

Plausibility weighs how well an account fits where secrecy hides the documents by design, so missing records never count against it. Strength measures what is documented. Assessed 2026-10-23.

On the record

  • FAA temporary flight restrictions across New Jersey and New York.
  • Airspace closures at Stewart Airport and Wright-Patterson AFB in December 2024.
  • The White House said in January 2025 that the FAA had authorized drones for research.

Claims

Some objects were UAP, or a search operation for something unknown.speculationSourced, unconfirmedbelievers

Where

New Jersey, New York and beyond
40.4°N 74.4°W · region only

war.gov files on this case (6)

PDFs (5)
PDFFD-1057-02, Northeastern United States, 2024FBI · Release 03 · October, 2024
PDFFD-1057-04, Northeastern United States, 2024FBI · Release 03 · October, 2024
PDFFD-1057-05, Northeastern United States, 2024FBI · Release 03 · November, 2024
PDFFD-1057-06, Northeastern United States, 2024FBI · Release 03 · November, 2024
PDFFD-1057-07, Northeastern United States, 2024FBI · Release 03 · December, 2024
Videos (1)
Video“Orbs Over the Pond,” 2024FBI · Release 03 · October, 2024

In The picture

The shoot-down yearsDrones and orbs came over Langley, U.S. bases in Europe, New Jersey, Europe's airports and Australia's F-35 base at Williamtown, and no operator was caught. At Volkel, the Dutch F-35 base that stores American nuclear bombs, guards opened fire on objects in November 2025, and the defence minister told parliament their…
‹ Previous in Drone incursionsDrones over bases13 of 21Next in Drone incursions ›Virginia Navy swarm

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